Sabtu, 14 Mei 2016

Trend for 3rd of June (updated) ~ forex trading basics ppt



Trading week is over and let us look at price action in currency markets today. It was a big day, for the data of Non Farm Payrolls came out today. You have to mark this event on your calendar and always be ready to take advantage of the data as well as be careful trading it. I remember my early days in trading forex market. I started by trading news, but as I did not know much about trading and managing capital I had to go through a lot of bitter experience. I very clearly remember myself trading my first Non Farm Payrolls event having just a few weeks of experience on a mini account with Refco broker (bankrupt now). 

You must have noticed that occasionally market starts moving one direction before the news and when it comes out it jumps into the opposite direction. That’s what happened with me that day. My sell order was opened and after about 10 seconds the market exploded upwards. Platform was not able to close the short order and I was sitting there desperately trying to close it manually. Fortunately, I was able to finish the day at breakeven by closing the sell order and opening a long one. This also taught me a lot about risk and capital management. If you want to trade the news you will have to be ready for a lot of problematic situations that might happen when news is released. I will talk about them some time in the future when I write a separate post about news trading. 

I would say that if you a news trader today was a turbulent day for you. It does not mean you couldn’t have made any money, but you would have probably experienced a ‘whipsaw’. If you opened 1 minute chart you would see how the price in eur/usd, gbp/usd and other similar pairs jumped up (meaning your long order would have been opened), then after two minutes the prices started going down and reached the other end of the range and below it (meaning your short order would have been opened). Then the price again reversed and went upwards. Well, if you traded gbp/usd you might have probably avoided this, but eur/usd would have done you just that (two orders opened and then closed). I view it as a pure manipulation done by ‘big dogs’. 

Anyway, if you do trade news you have to play under conditions that you have and one of the ways to play this situation is to put buy and sell stop order again (after the first ones are closed by market). So, lets say you traded eur/usd. Your long order was opened and after a few minutes stop hit. Then your short order was opened and after a few minutes the stop for the order was also hit. What do you do? You again place long stop order above the most recent high and sell stop below the most recent low. This kind of behavior would have put your trading today on breakeven. I cannot show you the charts yet (problems with computer) but you would have placed your second set of orders in this way: eur/usd (buy stop order at 1.4535 and sell stop order at 1.4445). Your long order would have been opened and you would have probably closed at a round number of 1.4600 (a few pips below that). That would have left you at breakeven. I hope you had some profit today though. 

That much for today, I am going to write on some technical aspect of trading tomorrow. I hope I will be able to include some charts tomorrow. See you.

Read my previous post:

Pound and silver

Disclaimer
Trading financial markets carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. All information on the blog is of educational nature and cannot be considered as advice, recommendation or signals to trade in any financial markets.

More info for Trend for 3rd of June (updated) ~ forex trading basics ppt:

Related Posts by Categories

2 komentar:

  1. Let me explain the basic principle how most Forex systems work. They are tuned up

    to work in a specific market condition. They often make money in a trending

    market, but loose money in a choppy market. It is not a problem as long as the

    market is trending and the system is making more money than it loses. Such a

    system can be profitable for several months and you would be happy with it.

    BUT...
    PREPARE FOR THE WORST...
    Market change over time. A well designed system starts with trend analysis to

    stay away from potentially losing trades. There are two problems of how a Forex

    system recognizes the trend.
    PROBLEM: FALSE "STRONG TREND" INDICATION.
    The system responds only to immediate price action. An explosive price movement

    that is usually the result of news release is tempting people to jump in and make

    a profit. It looks like a "strong trend", but what usually happens next is a hard

    fall.
    To avoid falling into this trap, check for the SOLUTION to find a REAL trend:
    ==> http://www.forextrendy.com?nsjjd92834
    SECOND PROBLEM: TREND RELIABILITY
    Most systems use various indicators to determine the trend. Actually, there is

    nothing bad about using indicators. One Simply Moving Average can do the job. The

    problem comes with the question: "Is the market trending NOW?" Whether the market

    is trending or not trending is not like black and white. The correct question is:

    "How well the market is trending?"
    And here we have something called TREND RELIABILITY.
    Trends exist and they can be traded up and down for a profit. You have to focus

    only on the most reliable market trends. "Forex Trendy" is a software solution to

    find the BEST trending currency pairs, time frames and compute the trend

    reliability for each Forex chart:
    ==> http://www.forextrendy.com?nsjjd92834

    BalasHapus
  2. "Which Forex pair and time frame is best to trade" is the frequently asked question and I want do give you the DEFINITE ANSWER.

    Are you expecting that I am going to say something like EUR/USD on 5-minute time frame or GBP/USD on daily...? No, it is not so simple, but SIMPLE ENOUGH we can figure it out!

    The "PROBLEM" is that markets change over time. If GBP/USD was a well trending currency pair a few years ago, today it is another one.

    I actually want to let you know about a SPECIAL TOOL that I use to find the BEST TRENDING PAIRS among all the Forex pairs.

    http://www.forextrendy.com?hfsdtb63546

    The software scans 34 Forex pairs on all time frames from minute to monthly. This way you pick the best trending pair and time frame at the current time.

    The system is running on our powerful computers, so you have nothing to download and install. Just join in and start using it within a FEW MINUTES! Get it on the link below:

    http://www.forextrendy.com?hfsdtb63546

    BalasHapus